Insights from Peripheral Vision, August 2024

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Our August 2024 edition of Peripheral Vision highlights three crucial developments.

Our August 2024 edition of Peripheral Vision highlights three crucial developments:

  • India experienced a notable reduction in inflation rates in July, primarily due to a sharp drop in food prices. Retail inflation decreased to a 59-month low of 3.54%, while wholesale inflation fell to a three-month low of 2.04%.
  • Conversely, core sector growth slowed in June, with most sectors declining, excluding coal, fertilisers, and cement.
  • On a positive note, the Indian startup ecosystem saw its highest funding in three years in July 2024 despite a decrease from the previous month.


In July 2024, India witnessed a decrease in consumer inflation, which fell to 3.54% from 5.08% in June 2024 and 7.44% in July 2023, marking the lowest inflation rate in 59 months. Falling vegetable prices and a high base effect drove this decrease.


Similarly, India's wholesale inflation, as measured by the Wholesale Price Index (WPI), dropped to a 3-month low of 2.04% in July, down from a 16-month high of 3.36% in June, primarily due to a sharp decline in food prices.

Exhibit

India's core sector growth also faced a slowdown, falling to a 20-month low of 4% in June 2024 from 6.4% in May. The slowdown stemmed from weaker performance in most sectors, except coal, fertilisers, and cement. Coal grew by 14.8% due to summer demand.

Exhibit

In the start-up funding landscape, July 2024 decreased to $1.03 billion from $1.94 billion in June 2024. Despite this decline, July still recorded the highest funding amount in the past three years. The June surge was propelled by Zepto's substantial $665 million funding round, alongside significant investments in Flipkart, PharmEasy, and Lenskart. Indian startups have attracted $8 billion in funding during the first seven months of 2024.

Exhibit

The economic data reveals a mixed yet positive trend, showcasing notable improvements in the inflation rate and start-up funding despite a slowdown in core sector growth. These developments offer a nuanced view of India's economic landscape and set the stage for adaptation in business strategies.


Stay abreast of macro trends using #PeripheralVision, Kanvic's interactive dashboard designed to help C-level executives detect subtle signals and adjust strategies to emerging market realities.

About the authors

Deepak Sharma is the Cofounder and Director at Kanvic Consulting, where Dimpy Goyal is an Associate Consultant.

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