COVID-19 has accelerated the digital shift
The impact of COVID-19 has been a dramatic and broad-based acceleration of the digitalisation trend in India.
While the initial weeks of lockdown saw many e-commerce companies suspend deliveries, as restrictions eased Indian consumers turned to their apps in unprecedented numbers. E-commerce growth is now projected to accelerate from around 50% CAGR over the last few years to over 80% in 2024 as a result of COVID. This is compared to a growth rate of 24% globally. Grocery is expected to be the biggest driver of growth, contributing 40% of the incremental gross merchandise value (GMV) between now and 2024.
Other low penetration categories are being targeted from personal health to consumer durables and even automobiles. With Hyundai becoming the latest auto brand to facilitate a fully online buying process from customising trim to arranging financing.
This online shift is not restricted to consumers. The digitalisation of B2B commerce has rapidly accelerated during the pandemic. For example, the large wholesale trade that supplies millions of kirana (mom and pop) stores around the country is witnessing an equally dramatic revolution as store owners shift from physical to digital channels. Embracing its offer of greater convenience, lower prices and even access to working capital finance. Bangalore-based start-up ShopX saw retail sign-ups double and average order size rise 40% between April and July. Other leading players like Udaan and Jumbotail have accelerated their expansion plans with the former now valued at over $7bn. And leading FMCG brands have been quick to embrace the new channel. Retail Association of India expects 30-40% of B2B commerce to shift to digital platforms in the next 3 years.
Powered by the conversion of consumers and traders to digital platforms the share of digital payments has also risen during the pandemic. By 2023 it is now predicted that $271bn of transactions in India will switch from cash to cards and digital payments.
Meanwhile, with millions of school children homebound for months on end, the pandemic has turbocharged India's already rapidly growing e-learning space. Making it the world's second-largest market and expected to be worth $1.9bn by 2021.
Lastly, the most profound impact of COVID-19 has been on the healthcare system and one of its most enduring effects may well be to transform one of the least digitalised sectors of the economy. Take for example telemedicine, a technology that has been a much-vaunted solution to India's health inequalities for years but that finally came into its own during the pandemic. A recent survey found that 80% of clinicians have used telemedicine in 2020 and 77% of patients would like to continue using it after the pandemic. As a result, India’s telemedicine market is projected to reach $5.5 billion by 2025, driven by a rise in teleconsultations, telepathology, teleradiology, and e-pharmacy caused by the pandemic. Furthermore, to facilitate a broader digital transition in healthcare the Indian government announced plans in August for a digital health identity with full interoperability.
Business has been forced to adapt
As the pandemic spread Indian business was forced to rapidly adapt to the new digital reality. Organisations had to facilitate an overnight shift to remote working for most white-collar workers, marketing and sales activities had to move online, and business operations had to rely on remote communications to manage manufacturing and supply chains.
The abrupt transition led to significant innovation and fast adoption of new digital tools but it also exposed widespread gaps in firms' systems & processes, IT infrastructure, and data management. The crisis also put strains on outdated organisation structures and exposed an absence of digital skills caused by low prioritisation of digital over recent years. More fundamentally still, the digital shift challenged the existing business models and strategies of many companies that had failed to consider its impact on the creation of business value in their industry.
Consequently, digital now presents both a huge opportunity for companies that can seize it but an existential threat to those who fail to quickly learn the lessons from the crisis.
4 areas that make you ready for a digital India
To adapt your organisation to the realities of digital India you need to focus on transforming your business in several fundamental areas. Drawing on the learnings from many large-scale digital transformations we have identified four pillars of digital that are crucial building blocks in creating a digitally-enabled business.
To start the transformation journey you should first evaluate where you stand in each of these four areas.